Supreme Court Splits on Presidential Power: Trump Wins FTC Case But Fed Independence Survives
A Divided Court on Presidential Power
The Supreme Court handed down two landmark decisions Monday that split along ideological lines, delivering President Donald Trump a sweeping win on his authority to remove Federal Trade Commission members while ruling that he cannot oust a sitting Federal Reserve governor without cause. The twin rulings, issued on the final day of the court’s 2025-2026 term, reshape the constitutional balance of power between the White House and independent regulatory agencies that have operated with broad autonomy for decades.
In the FTC case, a 5-4 majority upheld Trump’s dismissal of Democratic Commissioner Rebecca Slaughter, holding that the president has plenary authority to remove leaders of independent federal agencies. Chief Justice John Roberts, writing for the majority, delivered a blunt rejection of the status quo: a president, Roberts declared, “must have the assistance of officers he can trust.” The decision overturned a 90-year precedent rooted in the 1935 Humphrey’s Executor ruling, which had insulated agency commissioners from at-will removal.
“Today’s Supreme Court decision is a direct attack on the constitutional authority of Congress to establish such independent agencies and thus on our system of checks and balances,” said Trevor Potter, a former chairman of the Federal Election Commission and current president of the Campaign Legal Center. The ruling, Potter warned, “means that every independent agency — the FTC, the SEC, the CFTC, the FCC — now operates at the pleasure of the president.”
Fed Independence Preserved, But With Conditions
The companion ruling on the Federal Reserve was closer and more nuanced. Justices sided with Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, whom Trump attempted to fire in August 2025, but stopped short of issuing a blanket ruling on central bank independence. In a 5-4 decision, the court held that Cook was entitled to due process — meaning the administration must provide her with specific evidence supporting any removal charge and give her a chance to respond before final termination.
Roberts, writing again for the majority, anchored the ruling in historical precedent, noting that the Founding Fathers knew from experience the “calamities” that result when a central bank is subjected to political influence. “Not only the fact of independence but also the appearance of independence is key to the Federal Reserve’s design,” Roberts wrote. Cook, a Biden appointee whose term runs through 2038, called the court’s intervention “a vindication of the rule of law and the independence that Congress intended.”
The ruling provides breathing room for the Fed’s long-standing operational independence, but legal analysts warned it may not be the final word. Jaret Seiberg, a financial policy analyst at TD Cowen, noted that the decision leaves open a clear pathway for the administration to restart the removal process: “The President could still initiate a process to remove Cook in which he presents her with evidence to support a for-cause removal.”
Congress and the Courts Face a Transformed Landscape
The FTC ruling is already reverberating across Capitol Hill. Senator Dick Durbin of Illinois, the top Democrat on the Judiciary Committee, called the decision “an affront to good governance and the point of ‘independent’ federal agencies in the first place.” Durbin warned that Trump’s allies could now systematically replace Democratic commissioners with loyalists, effectively neutering agencies designed to operate free of White House direction.
The practical consequences for consumers and markets could be significant. Experts said the FTC ruling creates new potential for regulatory volatility — not just under Trump, but for future administrations of both parties. “This could lead to more volatile policymaking and regulatory whiplash for consumers and businesses, even under future presidential administrations,” analysts at CNBC noted following the rulings.
For markets, the Cook ruling was broadly welcomed. Preserving even conditional independence for the Fed signals to investors that monetary policy decisions on interest rates will not be made under political duress. The dollar strengthened modestly against major currencies in after-hours trading Monday, and Treasury yields held steady.
Trump, for his part, called the FTC ruling a “BIG WIN” and a “Historic and Unprecedented Ruling, one of the most important ever given with respect to Presidential Powers.” On the Cook decision, he was more measured, telling reporters at the White House that he would study the court’s reasoning before deciding on next steps. With the FTC ruling now establishing his authority, the question for legal observers is not whether Trump will use it — but how quickly and how aggressively.
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